Who will be the first wr selected

imagn's Kirby Lee

In the months leading up to the 2022 NFL Draft, players are evaluated solely on talent because it is unknown where or with whom they will land. With the draft concluded, it is time to dive into some of those situations rookie wide receivers will be stepping into this season. Below is a list of 10 wide receivers ranked by value and the opportunity awaiting them in the NFL:

1. Skyy Moore, Kansas City Chiefs

Round 2, No. 54 overall | College: Western Michigan

There are few situations that a rookie wide receiver could walk into better than the one presented to Moore. Catching passes from Patrick Mahomes is a luxury. It is easy to feel confident in the Western Michigan product putting up numbers for that team. He is a fantastic route runner. Once he forms a relationship with Mahomes, the connection could be dangerous for opponents. 

2. Treylon Burks, Tennessee Titans

Round 1, No. 18 overall | College: Arkansas

The selection of Malik Willis adds pressure for Ryan Tannehill to succeed this season so theoretically he is going to be dialed in and eager to help the team prove that trading A.J. Brown and drafting Burks was the right decision. Burks was favorably compared to Brown during the pre-draft process and while he may not be that from Day 1, Burks should still receive ample opportunity in that offense. 

3. Jameson Williams, Detroit Lions

Round 1, No. 12 overall | College: Alabama

Detroit would be receiving more criticism for the decision to trade up and select Williams if they had to surrender a traditional haul. By historical standards, the Lions did not have to overpay for the right to move up and select the Alabama receiver. Williams, along with last year's budding rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown, gives Jared Goff solid outlets to go along with T.J. Hockenson and D'Andre Swift.

4. Garrett Wilson, New York Jets

Round 1, No. 10 overall | College: Ohio State

Wilson was the top rated receiver so to get him at No. 10 overall was good value for New York. There is an argument that USC's Drake London would have been a better fit but he was off the board. Second-year quarterback Zach Wilson now has Elijah Moore, Corey Davis and Wilson in the pass game with Michael Carter II and Breece Hall taking pressure off of him with the ground game.

5. Jalen Tolbert, Dallas Cowboys

Round 3, No. 88 overall | College: South Alabama

During a team needs preview of the Cowboys on the Pick Six podcast, I mentioned Tolbert as a bigger target that could come in and replace some of the production lost in the Amari Cooper trade. Dallas had the same idea bringing in the former Jaguar to complement CeeDee Lamb and Michael Gallup. With an improved offensive line and the hopeful return of a healthy offensive unit, the NFC East franchise should be able to get back on track in the offense.

6. Drake London, Atlanta Falcons

Round 1, No. 8 overall | College: Southern California

Atlanta is constructing the front line of a volleyball team with Kyle Pitts and now London. The quarterback situation with Marcus Mariota and potentially Desmond Ridder at some point this season is not ideal. His placement on this list takes a bit of a hit for that reason. However, the presence of Pitts and London presents a unique challenge for opposing defenses. During the evaluation process, it is commonly said that a bigger safety, smaller linebacker can be a 'tight end eraser.' Now, the Falcons have two players that will challenge teams at the catch point.

7. George Pickens, Pittsburgh Steelers

Round 2, No. 52 overall | College: Georgia

It is too soon to say that Mitchell Trubisky or Kenny Pickett can be productive in this offense but Pickens is walking into an organization that has historically done well picking and developing wide receivers. The Steelers already have Chase Claypool and Diontae Johnson so Pickens does not carry the same expectations often cast on to an early round wide receiver. He should be afforded the opportunity to develop at his own pace. If he reaches his potential, Pittsburgh could be walking away with the best wide receiver drafted in this class.

8. Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers

Round 2, No. 34 overall | College: North Dakota State

Watson is here because of Aaron Rodgers. Although presumably nearing the end of his career, Rodgers is still one of the best quarterbacks in the game and should be able to make Watson look good. The North Dakota State prospect was taken about a round earlier than where I evaluated his talent but his combination of size and speed can not be taught. Rather than being a Davante Adams replacement, Watson is more likely to serve a supporting role early in his career.

9. Jahan Dotson, Washington Commanders

Round 1, No. 16 overall | College: Penn State

Dotson is a good player with strong hands capable of winning at all three levels of the field. He was taken earlier than expected because of the run at the position. However, Washington has a solid offensive line for Carson Wentz to distribute the football. The speed of Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel and Dotson should spread the opposition thin.

10. Khalil Shakir, Buffalo Bills

Round 5, No. 148 overall | College: Ohio State

Shakir was regarded as a top 100 prospect with the capability to be used or around the line of scrimmage. Much like Watson above, Shakir benefits by landing with Josh Allen in Buffalo. They have a number of outlets with Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis and Jamison Crowder, but the Boise State product represents good value.

When considering value and what New Orleans had to trade for the Chris Olave selection to be possible, I could not include him on this list. Outside of the quarterback position, it would be nearly impossible for any prospect to live up to the draft capital surrendered by the Saints.

It's NFL Draft week, and there is a long list of ways to get in on the action at SI Sportsbook. This year, one of the biggest stories around the draft is the number of defensive players expected to be chosen in the first round. This is the first year there isn't a consensus number one pick, and there is a lot of speculation as to whether or not offensive players will go later than usual. The wideout position has a lot of talent this year, but will teams choose to bolster their teams differently?

Check the Latest NFL Draft Odds at SI Sportsbook

So, just for fun, I asked the betting team at SI how many wide receivers they think will be taken in the first round and who they think the first wide receiver drafted will be. Is there another Justin Jefferson or Ja'Marr Chase this year? Here's where they are putting their money.

SI Fantasys Matt De Lima

Can we expect six wide receivers to go in Round 1? Six feels high—that's asking a lot. Let's see the recent history over the last five drafts: five WRs in Round 1 in 2021, six in 2020, two in 2019, two in 2018 and three in 2017. So it does seem we are trending towards the over. However, just because teams need receivers doesn't automatically mean there are a half-dozen prospects talented enough to hear their names called on Day 1. I see a run at the position in the back-half of the first round as teams vie to get their guy that gets us to at least six.

I'm not much of a value bettor, but I think there's a lot of trending and swirling rumors about Jameson Williams creeping up draft boards. I like him at this price point.

BET: Over 5.5 (+215); First WR Drafted Jameson Williams (+200)

SI Betting’s Bill Enright

2022 has been the offseason for veteran wide receivers. Davante AdamsTyreek Hill—heck, even Christian Kirk got paid big bucks on the free agency market. The spending frenzy by NFL clubs to acquire receivers has reduced their need to invest a first-round pick on the pass-catchers for the 2022 Draft. A handful of playmakers like Garrett WilsonDrake LondonJameson Williams and Chris Olave will indeed have their names called on Day 1. But those taking the Over on this prop still need two more prospects. I'll bank on just one more name in Treylon Burks or Jahan Dotson getting the call in the first 32 picks but not both. Thus, I'm taking the under. 

BET: O/U 5.5 (-350)

SI Betting’s Matt Ehalt

In the latest edition of the Conor Orr's mock draft, Conor had six receivers being drafted in the first round: Wilson, Williams, Burks, Olave, London, Watson. I can see that happening on draft night, especially since two of the late-first round teams in Green Bay and Kansas City both could use a receiver. Trying to guess which receiver goes first is the challenge here. I'm going to guess here that the Jets, provided they don't trade the pick, go with Jameson Williams at No. 10 at +200 odds. Williams may be the best prospect in the group, and the Jets don't need him immediately. The Jets know they need a playmaker, and the reports coming out on Williams indicate an early selection.

BET: O/U 5.5 (-350); First WR Drafted Jameson Williams (+200)

SI Fantasy’s Craig Ellenport

It's a safe bet that at least five receivers are drafted on Thursday night, but I'm not sold on a sixth. SI Sportsbook has Penn State's Jahan Dotson as the sixth receiver off the board, but I'm not sure he's a better prospect than Christian Watson or Skyy Moore - and I think all three of those guys slide into the second round. And while I don't think the 49ers will trade Deebo Samuel before the draft, any team that might trade for Samuel is one less team drafting a first-round receiver. As for the first receiver drafted, Drake London seems to be gaining momentum. I've heard some former coaches rave about the USC star, and I wouldn't be surprised if he sneaks in ahead of Garrett Wilson. 

BET: O/U 5.5: Under; First WR: Drake London +188

SI Betting’s Jen Piacenti

As usual, SI Sportsbook has a tight line at 5.5. It's pretty much a lock that five receivers will go in the first round. According to SISB's odds for the first WR taken, we should expect Wilson, London, Williams, Olave, and Burks to go in the first round. The question becomes number six. Many teams need a WR in this draft, but most could wait. They won't, though. Let's face it—this is an offensive league, and everyone is hoping they get the next Justin Jefferson (pick 22). Unfortunately, betting the over at 5.5 (-350) is too risky. I'm not laying $350 to win $100. BET: Pass

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